Estimated H.J. Andrews Stream Temperature via Coupled Mechanistic Models
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This invited webinar will be presented to the HJ Andrews Forest team during their May 2020 monthly meeting. We provide an overview of forest and stream management modeling tools developed by the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) for supporting state, tribal and federal partners engaged in forest management and salmon-recovery planning in Pacific Northwest (PNW) watersheds. In this webinar we describe our use of HJ Andrews long-term stream monitoring data to test the performance of EPA’s VELMA watershed simulator coupled with Penumbra, a new landscape shade\irradiance model, to estimate the effects of climate and forest management practices on key stream habitat variables, including water temperature and peak and low flows. These tests illustrate that VELMA and Penumbra can accurately predict stream temperature and peak and low flows for environmentally contrasting HJ Andrews watersheds, ranging from young managed forests to unmanaged old-growth forests. Our results highlight the potential use of VELMA-Penumbra for quantifying terrestrial-aquatic linkages, and the sensitivity of those linkages to changes in land use and climate. These results also highlight the value of long-term, watershed-scale monitoring data as vetting tools to inform management decisions aimed at balancing terrestrial and aquatic ecosystem services, a topic of concern for diverse PNW stakeholder groups involved in watershed restoration and salmon recovery planning.